Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.001394 0.001559 0.001723 0.001899 0.002082 0.002266 0.002465
2025-09-14 0.001131 0.001368 0.001612 0.001880 0.002165 0.002457 0.002778
2025-09-21 0.000967 0.001262 0.001573 0.001923 0.002301 0.002694 0.003132
2025-09-28 0.000859 0.001203 0.001576 0.002002 0.002470 0.002962 0.003513
2025-10-05 0.000721 0.001098 0.001519 0.002008 0.002553 0.003132 0.003788
2025-10-12 0.000619 0.001024 0.001489 0.002039 0.002658 0.003323 0.004080
2025-10-19 0.000503 0.000924 0.001420 0.002020 0.002703 0.003443 0.004292
2025-10-26 0.000413 0.000846 0.001372 0.002019 0.002764 0.003578 0.004517
2025-11-02 0.000325 0.000760 0.001308 0.001995 0.002796 0.003676 0.004699
2025-11-09 0.000264 0.000704 0.001277 0.002006 0.002864 0.003814 0.004922
2025-11-16 0.000207 0.000645 0.001238 0.002004 0.002916 0.003930 0.005118
2025-11-23 0.000156 0.000589 0.001198 0.001999 0.002960 0.004037 0.005302
2025-11-30 0.000106 0.000534 0.001173 0.002031 0.003074 0.004249 0.005637
2025-12-07 0.000048 0.000445 0.001096 0.001998 0.003109 0.004374 0.005877
2025-12-14 0.000020 0.000399 0.001074 0.002032 0.003226 0.004593 0.006224
2025-12-21 0.000007 0.000376 0.001085 0.002107 0.003391 0.004868 0.006635
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000321 0.001042 0.002109 0.003467 0.005038 0.006926
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000283 0.001020 0.002138 0.003573 0.005243 0.007256
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000228 0.000964 0.002117 0.003615 0.005371 0.007496
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000187 0.000924 0.002115 0.003680 0.005523 0.007763
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000142 0.000870 0.002089 0.003713 0.005637 0.007983
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000115 0.000843 0.002100 0.003790 0.005801 0.008261
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000087 0.000809 0.002099 0.003849 0.005943 0.008512